Considering none have been at all accurate, that’s like saying Sorry for the mean awful accurate things I said shirt. Yes, models tend to get more accurate as you continue to alter the data to suit you. Even so, those aren’t remotely close to accurate. How can you look at either of those charts and claim they are? They’ve consistently overestimated, and they are effectively no better than the naive guesses you mentioned. It’s okay to say that it’s just too complicated and we can’t account for everything and there’s much we still don’t know. That’s fine. It’s the arrogance of being consistently wrong and all the while claiming you’ve always been right that turns off those who don’t follow your particular religion.
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That doesn’t happen. And instead of revisiting failed projections, they assault the data. The real world must be in Sorry for the mean awful accurate things I said shirt. Actually, when it comes to claims that are supported by mainstream science, the burden of proof is on the dissenting opinion to convince them that they’re wrong. It helps for the dissenting view to be coming from a scientist in the relevant field rather than just your typical conservative global warming skeptic blowhard to be found in every comment section beneath the topic. I bet you trust Snopes and Politifact too, which is why your small mind comes here, for the science equivalent.